For a big budget movie like on this scale and considering the reception is average-positive-mixed.
150cr will go for Satellite and Streaming rights and everything else around it conservatively.
Music album has been very successful so far as fan be seen so conservative estimate also puts 50cr for Music rights also including some brand partnership etc..
That leaves a budget of 200cr.
Considering it will make around 250cr in India. That is Distribution share of 132.5cr (55% is usually the share overall) First weekend it's high reaching even 60% and then goes slowly down.
As Disney distributed themselves, so it's all their money.
Leaving you around 70cr which will easily be achieved by international box office which is trending good here+ International Satellite deals and all.
Hope this answers your question.
And yes that 150cr Satellite and Streaming figure will be on paper as Movie is not fully produced by Star , Dharma ,Ranbir and DNEG are also contributors.
And yes why 83 was not hit like this? Well ask Reliance who were offered great streaming deals but were too overconfident and then the wom was not in the movie favors. Same goes for LSC.
Gangubai on the other hand was sold pre release to Netflix and good wom helped it to get even better post release deals.
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