Audience Word-of-Mouth in India of 2016 films-list compiled by me!

srkat thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#1

I had two versions of this article, an older one and a newer updated one. BollyArena liked the older article better and posted that one, but I feel this one (the newer one) has more detail to it and thus, this list looks more accurate. I will be sharing the newer article with you guys here.



I have compiled a list of the audience WOM (Word of Mouth) in India of films released in 2016. Through my collection of data, I used four methods:

1) First day to lifetime collection multiplier: I took the lifetime collection of a film and divided it by the opening day collection. Based on the result, I would give that multiplier a QUALITY rating out of 10. Here's an example:

Airlift:

=Total net gross/First day collection

=123.47 crore/11.12 crore

=11.10 multiplier

11.10 is an EXCELLENT multiplier, and as a quality score out of 10, I gave it a quality rating of 8/10 (Excellent).

Another example:

Housefull 3:

= Total net gross/First day collection

=108.07 crore/15.24 crore

=7.09

7.09 is an AVERAGE multiplier, and as a quality score out of 10, I gave it a quality rating of 5/10 (Average).

Note: I used collections from BOI (Box Office India) for this analysis.

2) First 3-day weekend to lifetime collection multiplier: I took the lifetime collection of each film and divided it by the opening 3-day weekend. In cases where a film had an extended holiday weekend (such as Sultan), I took only the first three days of the film's release for my calculation. I took the division result and divided it by 5 to get a score out of 5, as a film that can multiply it's opening weekend by 5 is an excellent film, a theory Aamir Khan created, and then I calculated the %. The % was then given an equivalent rating out of 10.


Note: I used collections from BOI (Box Office India) for this analysis.

3) BookMyShow user votes: This one is easy to explain. I simply looked at each film's user rating score out of 10 based on votes from the audience.

4) IMDB user ratings: Like BookMyShow, this one is easy to explain. I simply looked at each film's user rating score out of 10 based on votes from the audience. IMDB isn't based on votes from India only, as it is an international database. With that being said, some of the highest grossers in India in recent times such as Dangal, PK, Bajrangi Bhaijaan all had iMDB ratings in the 8+ range, which is excellent. Even 3 Idiots, arguably the best WOM film in India in the last 7 years, has an excellent IMDB rating of 8.4/10. Films that had a huge opening at the box office but collections fell afterwards, have a lower iMDB rating such as Happy New Year (5.2/10) and Prem Ratan Dhan Payo (4.8/10). It's safe to say that iMDB ratings are a pretty good reflection of the WOM of a film amongst the multiplex/urban/city audience in India.

I could have used just one of these four methods for my WOM analysis. But each method has its own flaw. The opening day to lifetime multiplier and opening 3-day weekend to lifetime multiplier of a film may be higher than it should be if the film got the benefit of a holiday(s) during its run, which can increase collections regardless of the WOM, although I do feel that ultimately a film will settle where it needs to in terms of lifetime collections depending on how good or bad the film is. A bad film may show jumps in collections during holiday, but then it will also fall harder than normal after that holiday period is done to even things out. BookMyShow ratings could have many fans of the star voting the film a high number, even if the film may not deserve it. Same case with IMDB, and the fact that it is an international database rather than India-only based. Therefore, in order to get an accurate reflection, I felt that the best way to do this WOM analysis was to individually get a score out of 10 using the four different methods, and then getting a total final score out of 40 (the total score from each of the four methods combined) to find the film's WOM percentage.

Even then, this analysis can be at best, viewed as estimate. It is simply impossible to ask every single person that a watches a film their opinion of the film.

Anyway, here are my results...they may surprise you!

(Note: this isn't a reflection of which films were liked universally all across India, but rather, strictly a % of how strong/weak the WOM of a film was amongst those that watched the film, regardless of if it had limited appeal or All-India appeal).

Audience WOM (Word of Mouth) in India of films released in 2016:

Films with Excellent WOM:

Dangal: 87%

Nil Battey Sannatta: 85%

Pink: 84%

Neerja: 81%

Films with Very Good WOM:

Airlift: 77%

Kapoor & Sons: 72%

Happy Bhaag Jaayegi: 71%

Films with Good WOM:

Sultan: 68%

Shivaay: 67%

Madaari: 64%

Rustom: 64%

Sarabjit: 64%

Sala Khadoos: 63%

Dear Zindagi: 61%

Sanam Teri Kasam: 60%

Wazir: 60%

Films with Mixed WOM:

ADHM: 59%

Kahaani 2: 59%

M.S. Dhoni- The Untold Story: 59%

T33N: 59%

Udta Punjab: 59%

Jai Gangajal: 56%

Raman Raghav 2.0: 56%

Ki and Ka: 55%

Force 2: 53%

Housefull 3: 53%

Mohenjo Daro: 52%

Baaghi: 51%

Freaky Ali: 51%

Akira: 50%

Dishoom: 50%

Rocky Handsome: 50%

Films with Negative WOM:

Fan: 49%

Ghayal Once Again: 49%

Azhar: 48%

Veerappan: 44%

1920 London: 43%

Rock On 2: 43%

Befikre: 42%

Fitoor: 42%

Raaz Reboot: 41%

A Flying Jatt: 41%

Great Grand Masti: 41%

Wajah Tum Ho: 41%

Baar Baar Dekho: 39%

Mirzya: 39%

Sanam Re: 39%

Banjo: 37%

Mastizaade: 34%

Kya Kool Hai Hum 3: 28%

Some interesting notes I found in this analysis:

Dangal was the best WOM film in 2016, recording an excellent 87% while Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 had the worst WOM of the year, scoring a pathetic 28% score.

Shah Rukh Khan's Fan has a pretty strong IMDB user rating (7.4/10) and BookMyShow user rating (6.9/10), but was let down by an extremely poor trend at the box office after its opening day and opening weekend, resulting in negative WOM category.


Shivaay and Sultan actually had a same calculated 68% WOM score, but I am sure that Shivaay didn't have as good WOM as Sultan, hence why I lowered Shivaay's score by 1%.

Three non-family, adult-oriented type films (Befikre, Great Grand Masti, and Wajah Tum Ho) all had a poor WOM score that was similar to each other in the 41-42% range. Another film of this category, Mastizaade, came in second last place on the list, just ahead of another film of this category, Kya Kool Hai Hum 3 (which came in last place).

John Abraham's three action films (Force 2, Rocky Handsome, Dishoom) all had Mixed WOM in the 50-53% range.


My calculated WOM score for Airlift of 77% was similar to the one calculated by Ormax Media, which was 79%. Interestingly, 8 of the top 10 films in my list were also in the list of Best WOM films 2016 by Ormax Media, just in different order.


Edited by srkat - 8 years ago

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Ranbirrocks thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#2
Looks interesting!! I need to read it now
srkat thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#3

Originally posted by: DividerA

and what do u want in return? a medal?


Well geez I don't know, I think having you GTFO of this forum forever would be real nice gift to me and everyone here, "in return."
srkat thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#4
Bumped one more time 😳
PAcino thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#5
One of the VERY few sensible voices here!!!
You're an IF treasure...
That would clearly explain why SRK films aren't doing BIG numbers...!
Arshi1195 thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#6
Why do people have a problem with your posts...W*F. If you do not want to read it then leave, some of us actually like reading these lengthy posts. Great job btw 👍🏼
Karenina thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#7
Do you mean audience feedback or word of mouth?

How can Wazir or Sarabjit have better WOM than Udta Punjab, or equally as good WOM as Sultan?
CutiePie111 thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#8
Interesting article. Thanks for sharing!
Sultan.Mirza thumbnail
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Sarcastic Chatterbox

Posted: 8 years ago
#9
You should ignore IMDB ratings, Only Aamir & Films like Nil Battey Sannata are getting high ranking over there, complete bias it forms.

1st 3 days theory which Aamir created was because except Dhoom 3 none of his films are Big Openers in recent time which can make any difference, he created this when he was coming on Dhoom 3, if we apply this theory to Aamir's 90's films, he won't be even considered as any Star.

Best way to judge WOM is by seeing FOOTFALLS & TV Impressions which films generate from Theatre release & TV Premieres. When ppl have option to switch channel & not waste time on films which they don't want, then actual measure of WOM is judged.

Last year BOI Released TV Impressions list, films which are in your Highest Ratings were having Pathetic TV Impressions means literally ppl ignored those films. TV is 1 medium which is reached even far end rural areas, we have dish in villages also, so getting those impression gives much far more accuracy.

All 4 methods of yours will only benefit Aamir & Art centric films, rest will look like crap.
srkat thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#10
@PAcino thank you 😃 Indeed, the last well-appreciated film in India of SRK was Chennai Express. After that, his films either got mixed WOM (HNY, Dilwale, Raees) or outright negative WOM (Fan).
@ The WOM is based on the audience that watched each film individually. If we look at an All-India level, then for sure Sultan has a far better WOM than those films, but these ratings are more of a reflection on what % of the audience that saw a film liked that film. Sarabjit and Wazir types films were watched mostly by multiplex audience and from that audience that watched the film, people liked the films enough to get that 60 or 64% rating. Sometimes, a smaller a film is, the better the response amongst those watched it, compared to a Sultan which was watched by moviegoers at both single screens and multiplexes, smaller centres and bigger centres, hence why it's harder for the film to generate high WOM% amongst those that watched. Sultan had a better WOM nonetheless.


@Lakhan, I feel IMDB has actually been quite an indicator of WOM in recent time, at least somewhat of a reflection of India's urban audience if nothing else. All of the films that have crossed the 300 crore mark in India until now have had a very strong IMDB rating, including Bajrangi Bhaijaan which has a 8.1/10 rating. On the other hand, the films with a lower iMDB such as Happy New Year (5.2/10) and Prem Ratan Dhan Payo (4.8/10) had big falls in their collections after their opening weekend.

Footfalls are also helpful, but they are also helped by star power. TV impressions I feel are a mix of the hype that a film carried, star power, and WOM, but not entirely. Films like Dishoom and Housefull 3 had high TV impressions, even though they didn't sustain too well at the box office.

It's a bit tricky to have a complete WOM measurement, but the best I can do is estimate.

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