MUMBAI 7/11 TERRORIST BOMBINGS: INDIA INCREDIBLY ENRAGED
by Dr. Subhash Kapila
Introductory Observations
India at large, as opposed to the present Government in New Delhi, stands incredibly enraged at the senseless and wanton destruction of 200 lives killed and over 700 wounded in the July 11, 2006, Mumbai terrorist bombings. On this tragic day Pakistan once again manifested that it had not given up Islamic Jihadi terror as an asymmetric warfare weapon against India. Mumbai's 7/11 bombings on seven different trains stands now confirmed by official Indian circles as the combined handiwork of Pakistan's ISI (intelligence agency), Islamic Jihadi terrorist organisations based in Pakistan and indigenous Indian Muslim banned organisations like SIMI (Students Islamic Movement of India).
India at large stood enraged, as the Indian Government dithered in the first twenty four hours in naming Pakistan and hesitating in strong responses. The initial responses of the Indian Government were predictable standard format responses to Pakistani terrorism attacks in India: (1) routine condemnation (2) it was aimed at creating communal disturbances and (3) the peace dialogue with Pakistan will not be allowed to be affected.
For the first time (as this author stated in a live TV interview to Pakistan's GEO-TV Network) India at large, that is, India's wide-spread public opinion, outpaced Indian Government's dithering responses. Despite Indian Cabinet Ministers backroom telephonic messages to TV Channels, not to show the horrific battlefield killings in the bombings, India's citizen journalists had captured it all on their cell-phones. Thereafter, started a surge of angry public responses mailed to both domestic and foreign TV networks by e-mails and SMS messages expressing their rage on this terrorist bombings and India's weak responses.
India at large stood enraged and the Indian Prime Minister could no longer dither. The next evening in a national televised address while advising calm he again did not name Pakistan nor called off the peace process, as public opinion demanded. He only described that this ghastly incident was the handwork from "across the borders". India at large wanted to know from him,which borders?
India at large is enraged because unlike the United States strong responses against terrorism following 9/11, Indian Government responses after 7/11 have been dithering, confused and refusing to face the strategic reality that all major terrorist bombings against India bear the signature of Pakistan and yet India's present Government wishes to salvage the peace dialogue.
India stands enraged also that the present government in New Delhi and its coalition allies' weak responses against terrorism are conditioned by their being captives of Indian Muslim vote banks. India's national security interests do not seem to be figuring in their political calculus.
India at large is enraged witnessing that the Government of the day, instead of exploiting 7/11 as a defining moment to re-fashion its counter-terrorism responses by a radical transformation towards strong responses, seems to be buckling down under the inherent political contradictions imposed by its Indian Muslim vote-bank considerations.
In such a scenario, this paper shall attempt to focus attention on some pertinent aspects which have an important bearing on this crucial challenge which India faces:
Mumbai 7/11 Terrorist Bombings: The Enraging Effect on the Indian Psyche. Indian Enraged: The Manifestations of the Rage. India At Large: The Emerging Attitudes towards Pakistan. The Impact on Risk-Analysis Forecasts on India India At Large Resents United States Ambivalence on Terrorism Originating from Pakistan Against India. - India At Large calls for Revival of Punitive Anti-Terrorism Laws: Even Chief Justices of India Support it.
Mumbai 7/11 Terrorist Bombings: The Enraging Effect on the Indian Psyche
Mumbai 7/11 terrorist bombings have to be viewed in the context of the following framework:
Mumbai 7/11 has been the sixth major terrorism incident perpetrated on this city. Mumbai 7/11 killings in terms of triple figure number of those killed replicate the 1993 bombings in Mumbai. Mumbai follows a repetitive sequence of major Pakistani initiated terrorist attacks against major centres in India - Ayodhya (July 5, 2005); New Delhi (October 29, 2005); Bangalore (December 28, 2005); Varanasi (March 7, 2006) and now Mumbai (July 11, 2006). - The targeting pattern indicates terrorist attacks against India's financial capital, India's IT capital, India's political capital and the holy places of the Hindus.
In light of the recurring Pakistan initiated terrorist bombings/ attacks the following impressions/ perceptions have started getting embedded in the psyche of India at large:
Pakistan initiated terrorist bombings/ attacks continue in a recurrent pattern. From being confined to Jammu and Kashmir, they now encompass the entire heartland of India. The Government of the day has not come out with any swift and sharp measures to deter these attacks, especially those from July 2005 onwards. It follows a policy of appeasement towards Pakistan under external pressure. While the Government talks of nuclear deterrence, it is totally oblivious to "terrorism deterrence". On the contrary, the present Government in New Delhi had neutralized whatever little "terrorism deterrence" that existed, by repeal of POTA (anti-terrorist laws) and not extending the ban on Islamic Fundamentalist organisations like SIMI. - The weakening of India's "terrorism deterrence" by the present Government, supported by its coalition allies, has been necessitated by their being captives of Indian Muslim vote-banks.
In the psyche of India at large, 7/11 has because synonymous with America's 9/11. The 9/11 bombings by Islamic Jihadis was against the citadels of American's power – Pentagon (military power) and New York (America's global financial power centre). In India, the Pakistan Islamic Jihadis attacked India's Parliament House in 2001, with a sharp response by the then Government. Now on 7/11, Mumbai the financial capital of India stood re-targeted with horrific destruction. And what has been the response of the Government in New Delhi?
Analysts and political leaders dismiss public memory as short, but 7/11 has seared the psyche of India at large, recalling that the political, financial and religious citadels of the Indian nation-state have been repeatedly attacked by Islamic Fundamentalist terrorist organisations without any reciprocal punitive damage on them.
India Enraged: The Manifestations of the Rage
India at large manifested its rage both in the external media and the domestic media. Even after a week, it continues to do so; in terms of numbers, they can be counted in hundreds.
However, to give an idea as to why India is enraged over 7/11 and what it desires, some representative excerpts are reproduced verbatim:
"I have to come to believe more and more that Jihadi terrorism and other problems in India won't get better until law abiding citizens turn their rage on the stupid third rate gutter politicians and arm-chair secularists." "The mass media and their allies have sold their silence to Jihadi terrorists and corrupt politicians." "When somebody directs terror at you, nation states are expected to hit back with maximum force. Carry the fight into the enemy camp." "All your nuclear weapons, your missiles, your tanks come to naught, when you don't have the steel in your soul to defend yourself and your subjects – at any cost." "Yet India has been engaged in a peace process with the very neighbour it knows is out to dismantle it." "The time may have come to let the terrorists – and their backers know, that India is a country with millennial patience, but angered and aroused, can play hardball. Will, or can the Prime Minister oblige? - "Such was the indifference of our leaders that there was no need felt to declare national mourning."
The outpourings are unending, but the message that is being sent out by India at large is:
Time has come for decisive counter-terrorism offensive, even if it means carrying it "across borders". The Prime Minister will know which borders. Weak counter-terrorism policies are being blamed on a weak political leadership. - India at large wants action, but it feels that the political leadership lacks courage.
These messages are not from any political party activists but India's educated and professional classes and cuts across a wide spectrum of India's composition. Their messages, therefore, are not politically motivated but arise as anguished responses of India's citizens, pained as they are by lack of strong Indian official counter-terrorism responses.
India At Large: The Emerging Attitudes Towards Pakistan
In a nation wide TV poll in tandem with a discussion on the future of the India-Pakistan Peace Dialogue, 87% of Indians voted for the peace-dialogue to be called off and only 13% voted for its continuance. Now, that is an overwhelming majority.
In fact, much before 7/11 this author had written on this site a paper; "Should India Freeze Peace Dialogue with Pakistan?" (SAAG Paper No. 1810 dated 25.05.2006). The major points that were made in this paper, weeks before 7/11, after examining General Musharraf's continued use of proxy war against India were:
"India today presents a dichotomy where Indians at large feel that in view of Pakistan's proxy war against India it should adopt strong positions against Pakistan and freeze Indo-Pak peace dialogue." "In contrast the Indian Government is trying to placate the military dictator." "Peace with Pakistan as a strategic imperative for India is only a strategic pressure point imposition of the United States and the West to suit their own strategic needs." - "Every right thinking Indian has a right to ask as to how Pakistan is emboldened to continue in an unrestrained and undeclared war against India, and the present Indian Government rather than defending "India's National Honour" chooses to continue the chimera of an Indo-Pak peace dialogue?"
Mumbai 7/11 terrorist bombings whose Pakistani connections are irrefutable tragically brings the above issues in more bolder relief.
The Impact on Risk- Analysis Forecasts on India
Risk-analysis forecasts on India on which depends foreign direct investments and foreign institutional investments to power India's economic growth have become disturbing as a result of Mumbai 7/11; and this too could have been one of the aims of Pakistan's proxy war.
Jephraim P Gundzik, President of Condor Advisers has written (Asia Times, July 13, 2000) the following after 7/11:
"Rapidly deteriorating governance has created a political and social crisis in India. The growing power of India's Leftist parties has hamstrung the centrist Manmohan Singh government resulting in policy vacuum that has in turn produced an upsurge in domestic extremism and international terrorism." - "Over the next six to 12 months, the policy vacuum of the Government will heighten extremism and terrorism."
Surely, Pakistan and its Islamic Jihadi terrorist organisations would be coming to the same conclusions as evidenced by the rash of terrorism bombings/ attacks from July 2005 – July 2006 (six in all).
India At Large Resents United States Ambivalence on Terrorism Originating from Pakistan Against India
India at large, deeply resents United States ambivalence on terrorism originating from Pakistan against India. The roots of this resentment lie in the following:
- Indians are aware that Pakistan's unremitting intransigence towards India arises from the confidence that it has the United States to fall back on support, in case of sharp ripostes from India.
Pakistan's confidence arises from the belief that the United States is permissive on Pakistan's Islamic Jihadi terrorism directed against India, as long as Pakistan at calibrated intervals keeps on handing Al Qaeda operatives to United States. - India at large believes that it is within the power of the United States to close Pakistan's terror tap against India, should it choose to decide so, but it doesn't.
For over five years now, United States has adopted an ambivalent posture on terrorism emanating from Pakistan. The United States screws Pakistan to deliver on Al Qaeda terrorists wanted by it, but blinks and is permissive on General Musharraf's calculated reluctance to deliver on his pledges made both to USA and India that Pakistan will not allow its territory to be used for terrorism against India.
On the other hand, the United States tries to convince India by excuses that General Musharraf is under threat himself and that India should be patient with him. More blasphemy occurs when the US President and other US officials describe General Musharraf as a staunch fighter against terrorism.
That United States ambivalence is becoming noticeable in India can be evidenced from the writings of Prof. Sumit Ganguly who is a Professor in USA and closely allied with the US Administration. In an article in a Mumbai newspaper (DNA, July 16, 2006) entitled "Rogue Neighbour" he makes the following cogent points:
Pakistan is the source of dispensing terror all across India. Even the US State Dept. under the "ever gullible" Colin Powell was forced to place both the Lashkar-e-Toyiba and Jaish-e-Mohammad on the Foreign Terrorism Organisations List in Dec. 2001 following the attack on India's Parliament. "India should be willing to bluntly press the US, the UK and the members of the European Community to exert tangible pressure on the Musharraf regime." - More important, he added: "If necessary, India should be willing to place on-going cooperative ventures with these states at some risk unless they prove willing to listen and act on India's vital concerns as regards Pakistan's feckless promotion of terror. Delhi cannot remain satisfied with pious and anodyne expressions of concern and sympathy from the West."
In yet another perceptive piece entitled "America's Ambivalence on Terrorism (Rediff, July 14, 2000) an intelligence analyst, Richard M Bennet highlights the following:
"Washington's War on Terrorism appears increasingly to be falling short of a coherent and reasoned campaign, with its ambivalent attitudes to states like Pakistan which at best provide sanctuary for Islamic extremists and at worst, actually support organize and control major terrorist groups." - "That India should be the target of a prolonged and vicious Islamic terrorist campaign in all probability covertly supported by one of Washington's closest allies in the War on Terrorism – is perhaps not quite so surprising when seen in the light of the large number of determined espionage operations run by the CIA to steal India's most important secrets."
The United States cannot continue to be oblivious to Pakistan's terrorism war against India. Any such obliviousness could endanger Indo-US cooperation as a result of public opinion pressure.
United States unsolicited advice post-7/11 that Indo-Pak Peace Dialogue should not be called off without solid proof of Pakistan's complicity is not expected to go down well with India at large. The Indian Government itself has referred to Pakistan's complicity as a result of emerging investigations. India at large would like to question the United States as to why it bombarded the Taliban out of Afghanistan yet it spared their mentor? Their was solid proof available against the mentor too.
India At Large Calls For Revival of Punitive Anti-Terrorism Laws: Even Chief Justices of India Support It
The Congress Party, the Leftists and the other regional members of the ruling coalition, on coming into power in 2004 repealed the "Prevention of Terrorist Activities" (POTA) Law. This was an election plank to win Indian Muslim minority votes. The case being made was that POTA was directed against the Indian Muslims.
The ruling coalition completely forgets that if large number of Indian Muslims came into the dragnet of POTA, it was because they were so involved in anti-Indian activities whether it was Dawood Ibrahim, the Mumbai mafia gangs, or the LeT and JeM terrorists from Pakistan or their SIMI accomplices in India. Why do they not advise responsible sections of the vast silent majority of Indian Muslims to raise their voices against those of their kin who by their actions seek to discredit their community?
Surely, this political segment of India is not making out a case that in POTA detentions there should have been a proportional representation of India's majority population?
The Prime Minister of India, even after a week of 7/11 is publicly asserting that POTA type anti-terrorism laws are not required. Once again the reasons are politically connected to the Indian Muslim vote banks and not to India's national security imperatives. It is also at marked variance with the feelings of India at large and even the Chief Justices of India. In reactions across the media, ordinary people called for strong anti-terrorist laws citing examples of USA, UK, France and Japan.
The former Chief Justice of India RC Lakhoti, made the following observations on the eve of his retirement:
Recommend a new law on tackling terrorism and regretted that India's political leadership lacked the will to frame such a law to wipe out the terrorism menace. - Strongly recommended that Special Law should be made to deter terrorism and such law should include the death penalty.
The present Chief Justice of India, Mr. Y. K. Sabharwal recently made the following observations (Times of India Report, July 2006):
Noted with grave concern the spiraling terrorist strikes against India and said the international community would not fault India if it chooses to enact tough measures to deal with the menace - "Since the terrorist acts tend to create a state of emergency threatening the defence of India, no one would be able to fault India if it were to invoke the discretion for derogation from international treaty obligations to take tough measures."
The Indian Government therefore has the discretion to introduce "terrorism deterrence" laws, but is shackled by the chains of Indian Muslim vote banks.
Concluding Observations
India at large is seriously enraged with:
Pakistan: Its continued campaign of terrorist bombings in tandem with professions of peace. Also, General Musharraf's reluctance to honour his pledges to USA and India not to permit terror campaigns from Pakistani territory against India. USA: Its ambivalence on terrorism emanating from Pakistan against India and its inability to restrain Pakistan which it can do so. Further the constant pressure for the Indo-Pak Peace Dialogue to continue knowing fully well that Indian public opinion is strongly against it. - India's Congress Coalition Government
(a) Feeble will and soft approaches of the Government to Islamic Jihad emanating from Pakistan.
(b) Weakening India's "terrorist deterrence" by repealing POTA on grounds of appeasement of Indian Muslim vote banks.
(c) Ignoring the reality that "Peace Dialogue" with Pakistan and "Terror Attacks" originating from Pakistan cannot go on concurrently.
(d) Succumbing to US pressures to sustain peace dialogue with Pakistan, regardless of cost.
There comes a time in the history of nations, when hard choices have to be made by its political leadership. The Indian Government today has the challenge that:
Fighting Islamic Jihadi terrorism, both from within and without, is no longer a war of choice, but a war of necessity. India's "National Honour" is not open to violation like the present destruction of 200 lives on 7/11 and the dozen more incidents preceding it. - No political consideration/ postures of any political party can be allowed to subvert India's "National Honour" by those who masquerade as modern day "Ghoris" and "Ghaznavis" and commit crimes against India at large.
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