Will he or won't he...

So just for fun I am making this topic. I know we aren't supposed to discuss hollywood movies here but I just want a general opinion here.




I have a bet with my friend that Benedict Cumberbatch will get an Oscar for his portrayal of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange in The Fifth Estate. Friends said no he won't. So I am attaching the trailer here and asking what do you guys this his chances are?? Does he look convincing enough?? Will he get an Oscar (means I win the bet 😃 )??

[YOUTUBE]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZT1wb8_tcYU[/YOUTUBE]