All India have to do tomrrrow is..

Just beat Lanka..without having to bother abt the victory margin!😊

What the numbers say:

The question that is in the mind of every Indian cricket fan right now is will India be able to make it to Super-Eight. Let's see what the numbers tell.

After Sri Lanka's win over Bangladesh on Wednesday, India now just needs to beat Sri Lanka without worrying about the net run-rate.

Bangladesh has done no good to its chances to qualify for Super-8 after being thrashed by 198 runs by Sri Lanka. Its net run-rate has come down to -2.0018 after that game.

Sri Lanka now heads the Group B with a net run-rate of +4.5937. India is second with a net run-rate of +2.507.

A victory by even one run (batting first) or off the last ball (batting second) over Sri Lanka will take India through to the next stage.

Suppose Sri Lanka scores 250 and India successfully chases the target off the last ball, then in such a scenario Sri Lanka will end up as the Group leader with a NRR of +3.0136. India will end up with a NRR of +1.6730.

Since Bangladesh will be playing its last league match against Bermuda after India-Sri Lanka game, theoretically it will have a chance to better India's NRR, but to do this Bangladesh has to produce something unimaginable.

If India beats Sri Lanka under the circumstances mentioned above, then to beat India on NRR the target for Bangladesh in the match against Bermuda will be:

If Bangladesh bats first
Bangladesh has to score 600 and restrict Bermuda to 168
Bangladesh has to score 550 and restrict Bermuda to 117
Bangladesh has to score 500 and restrict Bermuda to 67
Bangladesh has to score 450 and restrict Bermuda to 16

If Bermuda bats first
Bangladesh can not overhaul India's NRR even if it bundles out Bermuda for a total of 50 and achieves the target in first over itself!

India's NRR will remain around +1.65 even if it registers a win over Sri Lanka off the narrowest margin possible - batting first or second.

There will be a slight change in Bangladesh's target in the last league match depending upon the victory margin for India, but it is obvious that the target will only become more difficult for Bangladesh as the victory margin for India increases.

India can still make it to Super-8 despite losing to Sri Lanka on 23^rd. But for that Bangladesh has to lose to Bermuda.

Will India make it to the next stage?

source:rediff.com

Thanks for explaining it so nicely. I will be glued to the TV tomorrow. Hope India wins.
A lot of money is riding on it - advertising money I mean. Also, if India makes it to Super 8, West Indies will be happy - because tourism will go up.

but will india win? srilanka is stronger than india in all department.

Originally posted by: Niceup

but will india win? srilanka is stronger than india in all department.

We need to find that out from the Mafia or Satta - or whatever it is called.😆

Jokes aside. I truly hope India wins.

Originally posted by: Niceup

but will india win? srilanka is stronger than india in all department.

don't worry india will make it thru. our player play best under pressure .

they need to win, easier said then done though 😆

hope India makes thro'...just one win away from entering the Super 8! hope the Men in Blue don't disappoint the one billion people praying for their win..

just heard Yuvi's interview,where he says that the team is focussed n its a pressure situation n they will try play well!

the match is 24 hrs away..but i already have butterflies in my stomach! 😆