Here we go again - South Africa and World Cup semifinals. New Zealand and World Cup semifinals. It does seem a cliche, that both these sides turn up as favourites to AT LEAST reach this stage, but then, not progress further. And come the 2026 T20 World Cup, we are at this situation again, where only one of these units can make it to the final. As a cricket lover, it would be disappointing to see one good team bow out but that is how the game goes. We are down to the last 4 teams standing in this World Cup with the first semifinal set to take place at the Eden Gardens in Kolkata between South Africa and New Zealand.
1st ever knockout meet - Surprising, isn't it? In the 50-over format, the Proteas and the Kiwis have met thrice in World Cup knockouts - once in a quarterfinal and twice in the semis. But in the T20 format, this is their first meeting in a knockout scenario! Their 5 previous meetings including the one earlier this season in Ahmedabad have all been league matches, so that brings us to another perspective - knockout pressure. Ohh... please, don't! That's what most of the Saffa fans would be saying, at the mention of an ICC semifinal.
Or, would they? Well, for those following Protean cricket from 1992, they have endured nothing but heartbreaks, till 2025. Yes, there was the odd Champions Trophy win, the inaugural season one, way back in 1998, but since then, it has just been heartbreaks. In 2025, they did flip the script by winning the Test Championship final, but has it done enough to wipe off the stains?
Let's talk about just the semis for now - The Protea Men have featured in 14 semifinals across three ICC events in the white-ball format - Champions Trophy, ODI World Cup and T20 World Cup - but won just 2. And of the remaining unsuccessful attempts, there would be 4 which would be stinging them for dear life - 1. The epic Birmingham battle against Australia in the 1999 ODI World Cup. 2. The bizarre collapse against India in Colombo in the 2002 Champions Trophy (Remember, Herschelle Gibbs suffered cramps but the other batters felt the pain)? 3. The choke against Pakistan in Nottingham, in the 2009 T20 World Cup. 4. Last, but not the least, the butter-fingers Auckland heartbreak against New Zealand in the 2015 ODI World Cup. These are scars which are pretty tough to get rid of.
We are different - That's what THIS South African team would say. Yes, they are still struggling to get that ICC trophy in that cabinet, but they at least broke that rut in the red-ball format, by defeating Australia in the 2025 World Test Championship final and would be eager to get their hands on the limited version now. Given the way things are panning out, if the Saffas do reach the final, there is a high likelihood of them meeting hosts India and that would be a perfect scenario for the team in Green to avenge their 2024 defeat.
Strong showing, or just momentum? Well, the common saying is that numbers don't lie. If you look back at the last 12 months roughly, South Africa have won 15 out of 28 T20Is - That's a shade above 50 percent. Amongst Test-playing nations, they rank 6th in terms of matches won in this period, with Pakistan, India, New Zealand, England and even Bangladesh ranked above them. Still, they are looking as one of the sides to beat in this competition.
Let's give you another set of numbers. The Proteas suffered a shock group stage exit in the 2022 T20 World Cup after a loss to the Netherlands. However, post that match, the Team In Green has played 16 matches in T20 World Cups and lost just the one - no points for guessing which one - the 2024 World Cup final, of course! The best by any team during this period.
Coming to this World Cup alone, their batters have shown enough might. Stuttered just a wee bit against Zimbabwe and UAE, but twice, cantered to chases in excess of 175, one of them being against the Kiwis itself. On three occasions batting first, they have even crossed the 185-mark and overall they have not lost more than 7 wickets in an innings in this edition. If we check the list of batters who have scored more than 150 runs in this World Cup, we will find 5 members from the South African unit in this list.
Only India match that feat. So clearly, there are no batting issues as such. But then... Is everything rosy on the bowling front? Umm... well, this can be debatable, whatever answer you choose. In terms of wickets picked, South Africa rank third, scalping 56 victims, behind Sri Lanka's 57 and England's 58. Their economy rate has also been decent, reading 7.73, the best by any team. To their credit, they have bowled out oppositions twice - neither being a minnow - Afghanistan and the Cup favourites, India.
Still, there are issues. How? Let's analyze. Out of 7 occasions in this World Cup, thrice they have conceded scores in excess of 170. That one no ball of Kagiso Rabada against Afghanistan in the Ahmedabad thriller reminded everyone of the Jasprit Bumrah mishap against Pakistan in the 2017 Champions Trophy final, but luckily for the Saffas, the result went their way. So even if they have done well in 4 games out of 7 restricting oppositions, an efficiency of under 60 percent does not sound pretty good for a side which has been unbeaten in this edition so far. Just as we did for the batters, let's take a list for the bowlers as well. And we can spot the difference.
For a minimum of 5 wickets taken in this tournament, the Proteas have 4 bowlers - Lungi Ngidi, Corbin Bosch, Marco Jansen and Keshav Maharaj. Good enough? Sounds like a decent team performance, aye? Well, look further before you form your answer. England, West Indies and India have 6 bowlers in that list, while Sri Lanka have 5. From a positive aspect, three of South Africa's bowlers rank in the top 6. But it does appear that while the Team In Green has been decent with the new ball and at the death, the middle overs are a massive concern for them, as spin has picked just 9 wickets out of the total 52 by the bowlers (The 56 mentioned earlier includes run outs and other dismissals which were not caused by a bowler).
The middle overs (7-15) are usually the ones for the spinners where they can slow down the opposition batters and pick up wickets. Bowlers do win you championships but just one set of bowlers won't be able to do it. The tweakers need to come into play soon.

koi bhi chalega, preferably NZ 



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