Who will be the first actor from the poll to enter 200cr club?

Your condition needs to be explained more...on their own star power means?

Ranbir with Dutt biopic has a chance if it gets a solo release.

Either if Judwaa 2 is well made comedy or Shiddat with good release date. It'll be Varun

Want Jolly 2 to enter 200 crore club and then Padmvati has to since budget is very high.

First Ranveer with Padmavati

I know 2.0 is a Rajnikanth movie, but if it crosses 200 crores in Hindi version, then credit should go to Akshay. Because we all know that Rajni sir movies don't work in Hindi version. Even Robot underperformed in the Hindi version.
Padmavati can cross 200 crores, though the chances of it being a disaster is move. But even if it becomes a blockbuster, then more credit should go to Deepika as she's a bigger star than Ranveer.
Golmaal 4 and Judwaa 2 will underperform. Comedy movies don't really work anymore.

padmavati if its exceptionally good
but 200 for a SLB film without holiday is difficult.
BM had phenomenal WOM yet it didnt touch 200
so i am not too confident for padmavati doing 200
or even zoya's next film. rules out ranveer at the moment.
varun is the one who has most potential in pan-india appeal
but his films are not biggies but that abhishek varman next
might be a big hit. the only film which looks the brightest atm
in terms of hype & BO, is raju hirani's film dutt a
and its because hirani is a celebrated director
who made light hearted films with mass appeal
and his directed films work at plexes & single screens both.
so for that reason i feel RK got a chance
with the biopic of dutt but only if gets a solo release.