My Box Office Predictions for October

srkat thumbnail
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Posted: 7 years ago
#1
Varun Dhawan has seen an unprecendented box office success streak for a newcomer. 9 back-to-back successful films!
The question is...can he make it 10 with October?

October has a major plus points going for it on face value: Varun Dhawan, the star, and Shoojit Sircar, the director, who himself has been on a successful run as a director since his second film Vicky Donor released in 2012. A star of the masses (Varun), and a director of the classes (Shoojit Sircar).

Alas...this is where the positives end!

The biggest problem, in my opinion, is that the trailer gives a very Lootera-type vibe. Nothing wrong with that as a film, given that Lootera was very well-appreciated by critics and the award shows...but very wrong at a box office level, as Lootera failed badly in that department. Slow, intense, dark love stories rarely work with the Indian audience, as history has shown. Take for example, a recent film Ae Dil Hai Mushkil: the audience generally liked the more light-hearted first half of the film, but they rejected the second half of the film where the film got very intense and heavy on the heart!

As often is said, the Indian audience wants entertainment. Baaghi 2, which released recently, had entertainment in abundance for the Indian audience. October, on the hand, appears to be the exact opposite!

Another problem is that it's a mass star (Varun) coming in a class film. That in itself will disappoint his core fan base. Kids, which form a major chunk of his fanbase as well, would not appreciate this type of film. As it is, Varun's dialogue delivery in the trailer has been met with quite some criticism, although it will be interesting to see how his overall performance is rated by the audience after watching the film.


My Box Office Predictions for October:
Lifetime Collections: 45 crore nett
Overall Verdict: Flop

As always, you can follow me on Twitter at http://mobile.twitter.com/bobbys_bo
Edited by srkat - 7 years ago

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Resident_Evil thumbnail
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Posted: 7 years ago
#2
Bhaag bhai bhaag. Varun fans are coming for you.
srkat thumbnail
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Posted: 7 years ago
#3

Originally posted by: Resident_Evil

Bhaag bhai bhaag. Varun fans are coming for you.


I did think of that possibility 😆 Even though it is me presenting my unbiased prediction, as always! 😃
kuchnaakahoo thumbnail
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Posted: 7 years ago
#4
What is the budget of this movie ?
cougarTown thumbnail
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Posted: 7 years ago
#5
srkat
why not detailed analysis like you do

the.opening day..weekend..first week prediction

anyway..i mostly follow your predictions but i sincerely hope it works
heartbleed thumbnail
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Posted: 7 years ago
#6
45 cr lifetime for a Varun film is a blockbuster according to his fans
1112805 thumbnail
Posted: 7 years ago
#7
It's good to have low expectations.

I think Srkat maybe took people's opinion on IF way too seriously regarding Varun & the pace

Anyway - Budget is 25cr and sold as VD's lowest film. Didn't have any big PH backing this film due to that factor. In fact only 6 day promotions too.
TheRager thumbnail
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Posted: 7 years ago
#8
The film must have cost only 20cr. So 45cr would make it superhit.
Vdkhanna thumbnail
Posted: 7 years ago
#9

Originally posted by: TheRager

The film must have cost only 20cr. So 45cr would make it superhit.

lol what about his fees and other things why his movie scross 40 also super hit for you🥱
1112805 thumbnail
Posted: 7 years ago
#10

Originally posted by: Vdkhanna

lol what about his fees and other things why his movie scross 40 also super hit for you🥱


To assure success for his film, he charged his lowest for this film. Shoojit film's never have high cost.

Film barely had any promotion. 5 days of only few TV appearences and interviews.

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