My Observation of DUNKI's box office: WOM and lifetime collections! - Page 3

Originally posted by: srkat

Parts of my Dunki prediction were accurate. I predicted a 20 cr nett opening, and the opening ended up being in the 20 cr range (28 cr nett).

I predicted that the film would have extremely negative WOM. The initial public WOM was indeed negative.

But, a few parts of the prediction have gone wrong!

I predicted 94 cr lifetime. That lifetime has been crossed on the FOURTH DAY itself 😅🤣

Also, the WOM is not outright negative as it initially seemed. The WOM is MIXED (AVERAGE), similar to films such as Tiger 3 and Brahmastra.

Initially, there were videos from Mumbai's Gaiety Galaxy, with men coming out of the film and criticizing it. Thats where it seemed like negative WOM.

But, I watched a video yesterday from the same theatre, where a bunch of KIDS were coming out (probably some screening held for them) and they loved the film!

Again, this is similar to Brahmastra: youth rejection of the film leading to low collections on weekdays, but appreciation from the family audience on the weekends, leading to better collections on the weekends!

Komal Nahta had also mentioned something similar I believe about how Dunki will get appreciation from family audience on weekends. Sunday has seen a good jump to reach the 29-30 cr mark.

So, observing the current trend, I feel that the lifetime collections of Dunki in India will be around the 225 cr nett mark.

I'm not entirely sure of the economics: the budget is around 80 cr, but I'm not aware of the price the film was sold to distributors at. So I'm uncertain about the recovery of the distributors.

With that said, I feel that 225 cr will be enough to atleast get the film to a box office Verdict of HIT!

This is rather shocking to me, as I've felt that content films usually have no middle ground. A big action film can have middle ground, such as Tiger 3 doing random lifetime collections of around 270 cr nett (or whatever it was) and HIT verdict. But I felt that content-oriented films, such as Dunki, either tend to go sky high (ATBB) or become zero (just like the film with the same name 🤣).

Here, Dunki is going to achieve that middle ground, as the film is not gonna be the All Time Blockbuster that many wanted it to be, but the film is also not gonna be the box office disaster that I predicted it to be. It will ended up in the middle with a potential HIT verdict.

Also, Please please note....this is NOT me changing my prediction! My original prediction is the only one, and that was me predicting lifetime collections of 94 cr nett in India. So if you want to make fun of me or abuse me for going wrong, please do so for my lifetime prediction of 94 cr nett 😁😃

225 cr nett and HIT verdict is just me observing based on the box office trend/WOM I am seeing of the film so far!!

Why would anyone abuse you or make fun of you for a PREDICTION.....it is a prediction based on what you saw at the time when u made the prediction....things changed and prediction changed....thanks for updating...

Regarding WOM being negative....some maybe genuine but a lot of it is just a negative narrative being set up against Dunki....but I will be happy if it crosses 200...

There was a tweet that Pathan, Jawan, Animal and Gadar have spoiled us and made it feel like making 500 cr was an easy task....and now everyone is expecting that.......not every movie is going to cross 500 cr.... and its OK.

Originally posted by: prerna4rishav

The number 225 looks like ‘just crossing 85’ to you ? I would have nothing further to add if yes.

Originally posted by: prerna4rishav

The number 225 looks like ‘just crossing 85’ to you ? I would have nothing further to add if yes.

Yes in Lala Land....and the sun rises in the West too...

Originally posted by: Shaitan-Haiwan

225 is not gonna happen dear. Now don’t tell me you’re counting out of India figures too we all know those don’t count

Ok Shaitan Baba thanks for the prediction. I like it when the TM being officially in the trade market predicts something (post watching the trends), and then you come with this confident story-telling.

We will see next week where it goes. As I’ve seen it twice already, seen audience reaction live, especially family folks, I will rather wait for this week and next weekend’s collection. Let’s see yours is gonna overwrite Bobby’s (TM’s name I guess ?) prediction.

The meltdown though....is just awesome to read....

Originally posted by: blue-ice.1

Yes in Lala Land....and the sun rises in the West too...

I can hum this line of the song whole day. So apt for the other side of reality.

Originally posted by: prerna4rishav

Ok Shaitan Baba thanks for the prediction. I like it when the TM being officially in the trade market predicts something (post watching the trends), and then you come with this confident story-telling.

We will see next week where it goes. As I’ve seen it twice already, seen audience reaction live, especially family folks, I will rather wait for this week and next weekend’s collection. Let’s see yours is gonna overwrite Bobby’s (TM’s name I guess ?) prediction.

Originally posted by: prerna4rishav

Ok Shaitan Baba thanks for the prediction. I like it when the TM being officially in the trade market predicts something (post watching the trends), and then you come with this confident story-telling.

We will see next week where it goes. As I’ve seen it twice already, seen audience reaction live, especially family folks, I will rather wait for this week and next weekend’s collection. Let’s see yours is gonna overwrite Bobby’s (TM’s name I guess ?) prediction.

It has literally 3 weeks before fighter releases.....so whatever it will make will be in the next 2-3 weekends....It has already made 105 cr in India.....95 cr to cross 200......I am hoping atleast for 200 cr...from Tues onwards it will be in single digits but will pick up on the weekends.......95 cr is not a huge number.ho jaanaa chahiye.....fingers crossed......aur nahi bhi hua...toh Pathan and Jawan to hai he...

Both beti and baap can stay at home and dissect their failed films then they will come together in a movie soon to lower the bar further

If you have to sit and count figures and open weeks - it’s a flop true successful films don’t require an entourage to justify everything. If im delulu then why is it bothering you?truth hurts folks