Dilwale will beat the holiday opening day figures of Prem Ratan Dhan Payo in some circuits, it is mainly small circuits where it is a 100% certainty to beat Prem Ratan Dhan Payo but sill considering less screens, competition from another film and no holiday it was not expected to beat anywhere.
The figures of Dilwale as compared to Prem Ratan Dhan Payo will be better in Assam and Tamil Nadu / Kerala. These are small circuits but bigger circuits like Bihar, West Bengal and Mysore also have a chance. West Bengal and Mysore are evening circuits and could reach the numbers of Prem Ratan Dhan Payo despite the opening being less.
The real big circuits like Mumbai, Delhi/UP and East Punjab are well short but that is on the expected lines due to the circumstances.
The fate of Bajirao Mastani hangs on the business of Delhi / Punjab and Gujarat. Mumbai city and Pune are doing pretty well especially the latter but needs support of either (preferably both) North or Gujarat to go anywhere.
The film is very poor in single screens outside Maharashtra so that big chunk of multiplex business in Delhi and Punjab becomes most important.The collections remained low in both North and Gujarat even in afternoon shows and it will be about the post 6pm audience.
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