In my experience abhi nominate hoga then people will start voting and momentum build up hoga. And because there are weaker contenders he will survive now and later he can take on not so active celebs. But if he gets nominated late in the game then survival will be tough. Last year Arshi was many people's second or third choice but itni late nominate hui and Chingu and I also voted but ussi time vote out ho gayi 😆. Early nominations helps I think and if he is nominated wo aur ladai karega sabse so fayada apna hi hai.
He wont stand a chance against the the celebs. If he is up against them. With weaker contestants like commoners he may pull through. I am not sure how this thing works. Manveer hardly had a big fan following but he still won. Bani had a much bigger fandom she came second.