Why are the price fluctuations in Bitcoin?

Bitcoin price traded at $65,371 after gaining 7% over the past 24 hours. The move came as buyers returned following days of crypto market consolidation.

Bitcoin price surged over $65,000 in response to a better geopolitical mood. The market had earlier remained stuck in a narrow range between $65,500 and $65,750. BTC rose to just over $66,000, but the momentum has slowed again.

Bitcoin Price Recovers as US-Iran Deal Hopes Build

Bitcoin price recovered as investors watched developments around the expected U.S.-Iran memorandum. Senior U.S. officials reportedly outlined the 14-point agreement during a Wednesday call with reporters.

The memorandum is expected to be formally signed in Switzerland on Friday. It includes conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz. It also calls for an immediate halt to hostilities across several fronts, including Lebanon.

BREAKING: The US has released the full text of its 14-point “Memorandum of Understanding” with Iran.

Key terms include:

1. The US, Iran, and their allies agree to immediately and permanently end military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon

2. The US and Iran agree…

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2067303869051515390

The agreement may also open the next stage of negotiations. Future talks are expected to focus on harder issues, including Iran’s nuclear program.

Bitcoin was already recovering its lows in June of about $59,000. This price was then to hit high of approximately $67,200 as the market became more confident in peace.

However, BTC lost some momentum after the rally paused near resistance. The interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve also kept traders wary.

In the first meeting of Kevin Warsh as the new chair, the Fed did not change the rates. Economists had anticipated rates ranging between 3.50 and 3.75.

For now, Bitcoin’s recovery appears tied to easing war fears and steady monetary policy. An upside break above $66,000 may help in another push towards $67,200. Loss of $65,000 can lead to new consolidation.

Bitcoin Profit Ratio Signals Fragile Recovery

The BTC realized profit/loss ratio remains weak, even as the price rebounds from the $60,000 region. Glassnode’s 30-day RPLR has dropped sharply, showing recent sellers are realizing fewer profits.

The 90-day average is also close to the neutral line, which proves the cooling strength of the market. This structure is common when rallies are unsuccessful in finding the confident profit led demand. The recovery is still weak, even though Bitcoin is bouncing around the $65,000 price point.

A long-term movement above $70,000 may enhance the realized profit momentum. But a second failure at or close to resistance can drive traders back to caution. The statistics indicate the attempts at the accumulation rather than a proven trend reversal so far.

Bitcoin ETFs See $10.06M Inflows as IBIT Adds $16.35M

According to Sosovalue data, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs posted $10.06 million in daily net inflows on June 16. BlackRock, with IBIT, was first at $16.35M, and Fidelity FBTC, at 4.28M.

Source: Sosovalue data

Grayscale’s GBTC saw $16.81M in outflows, partly offsetting gains from other funds. IBIT also remained the largest product, with $50.28B in net assets. The mixed flow pattern indicates tentative demand with investors switching among key ETF products in today.

Will Bitcoin Price Break $68,000 and Target $70,000 Next?

As of the reporting, the BTC price traded at $65,364 on the four-hour chart. Bitcoin remained under pressure as it lost momentum around the $68,000 resistance zone.

The RSI was close to 51, exhibiting cooling impetus. MACD also deteriorated and this indicates that bulls require more volume in the near future.

The chart indicated that BTC fell below the upward channel, which sustained the recent recovery. Such move undermined short-term structure and made the support on the $65,000 back in play.

Source: Tradingview

Being in a strong hold of over $65,000 would assist buyers to attack $68,000 again. The Bitcoin long-range prediction could reach to the next significant resistance of $70,000 in case the volume can improve.

However, a four-hour close below $65,000 may expose $62,500. The $60,000 zone could then be in sight due to deeper weakness.