Trade expectations from 2017 films

hbkrocks thumbnail
Posted: 8 years ago
#1

IndicineLBO: Trade expectations from 2017 films


It's that time of the year when we begin looking forward to what's in store for the new year. 2017 is packed with almost all major weekends booked well in advance.

Salman Khan has taken two of the biggest festive weekends of 2017 - Tubelight on Eid and Tiger Zinda Hai on Christmas. The biggest superstar from the south, Rajnikanth, takes the Diwali weekend for his next film 2.o' also starring Akshay Kumar as the lead villain.

Shah Rukh Khan has announced his film with Imtiaz Ali for the Independence Day' weekend, while Varun Dhawan has booked Judwaa 2' for the extended Dusshera - Gandhi Jayanti weekend next year.

For our initial IndicineLBO' predictions for 2017, we decided to ask people from the trade, industry and a few others who we think are box office aware' and can give us realistic predictions. More than 60 people were asked, most of them from the trade (exhibitors, distributors etc) for their expectations and the number in the table below is the average' of all predictions that they made.

Check it out:

MovieDateLBO
Ok JaanuJan 1346 crore
KaabilJan 2582 crore
RaeesJan 25131 crore
Jolly LLB 2Feb 1086 crore
RangoonFeb 2453 crore
Commando 2Mar 0330 crore
Badrinath Ki DulhaniaMar 1098 crore
Sarkar 3Mar 1741 crore
PhillauriMar 2432 crore
Naam ShabanaMar 3134 crore
Jagga JasoosApr 773 crore
Fast and Furious 8Apr 14108 crore
Bahubali 2Apr 28176 crore
BaadshahoMay 1275 crore
Meri Pyaari BinduMay 1238 crore
Half GirlfriendMay 1996 crore
Toilet Ek Prem KathaJune 284 crore
RaabtaJune 952 crore
TubelightEid307 crore
Munna MichaelJuly 768 crore
Bareilly Ki BarfiJuly 2131 crore
MubarakanJuly 2867 crore
Secret SuperstarAug 454 crore
SRK-Imtiaz FilmAug 11173 crore
SimranSept 1523 crore
Judwaa 2Sep 29118 crore
Robot 2Diwali150 crore
PadmavatiNov 17115 crore
Tiger Zinda HaiChristmas295 crore

Note: All predictions were asked to be made on the assumption that the films will carry mixed to good' word-of-mouth. The above mentioned films could collect a lot less if they are rejected or much more if the word-of-mouth is excellent.

Some points:

  • Salman Khan films are in a different league altogether when it comes to trade expectations. The trade and the industry expect Kabir Khan's Tubelight to become the highest grosser of the year, followed very closely by Tiger Zinda Hai'. The high expectations are understandable too as Salman should get a solo release during two of the biggest weekends of 2017.
  • The trade believes only two films - Tubelight and Tiger Zinda Hai - will cross the 200 crore mark next year.
  • Expectations are high from the two South films - Baahubali: The Conclusion and Robot 2.0 - both potential 150 crore plus grossers in Hindi.
  • The two Shah Rukh Khan films are expected to score somewhere around the 150 crore mark too. Raees, the trade believes, will win the clash against Kaabil by a fairly big margin. The Imtiaz Ali film carries high expectations, it has a good weekend too and should get a solo release.
  • If Varun Dhawan manages to achieve the kind of numbers that the trade expects out of him, he'll take big strides in the industry in 2017. He has the biggie Judwaa 2', which has a fantastic release date.
  • Akshay Kumar has two slightly off-beat films in 2017, which explains why Jolly LLB 2 and Toilet: Ek Prem Katha are carrying '80 crore' expectations. He could over-achieve if those films turn out to be very well made, Toilet could get tax exemptions too.
  • Padmavati was the big shocker to us, because the film is being made on a massive budget and Bhansali is returning after Bajirao Mastani. But the trade doesn't trust Sanjay Leela Bhansali until he actually delivers.
  • Arjun Kapoor too could have a solid 2017 if his two films - Half Girlfriend and Mubarakan - work at the box office. Both films are expected to appeal to a wider section of the audience.
  • Aamir Khan only has a cameo in Secret Superstar', but very little is known about the film. The expectations are quite high because it's being produced under the Aamir Khan Productions' banner.

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TheRager thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#2
TZH will do 300cr plus
Naam Shabana will do 70 cr plus
Bahubali 2 will do 200cr plus

Both of SRK's films are given too high a lifetime. Both will do around 100cr best case. LOL at expectations from Kangana's movies.
Btw if they can give expectations from FF8 then what about expectations from XXX and Baywatch?
Her-mion-e thumbnail
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Posted: 8 years ago
#3

Originally posted by: MrsKhan

TZH will do 300cr plus

Naam Shabana will do 70 cr plus
Bahubali 2 will do 200cr plus

Both of SRK's films are given too high a lifetime. Both will do around 100cr best case. LOL at expectations from Kangana's movies.
Btw if they can give expectations from FF8 then what about expectations from XXX and Baywatch?


That's quite big number..why do you think it will be that much?


923901 thumbnail
Posted: 8 years ago
#4
Varun's got star power. And only trades bring it to attention

Unlike the forums or media (PR) 😆
1095612 thumbnail
Posted: 8 years ago
#5

Originally posted by: -Vagabando-

Varun's got star power. And only trades bring it to attention

Unlike the forums or media (PR) 😆

Converting medium budget movies into 70 80 crores hit is not a big deal. Let him give a big bb n then he will be ahead of every !
923901 thumbnail
Posted: 8 years ago
#6

Originally posted by: bosskibiwi


Converting medium budget movies into 70 80 crores hit is not a big deal. Let him give a big bb n then he will be ahead of every !



His Abcd 2 and Dishoom were at same budget as Tamasha, Besharam and Befikre. But the outcome is different. Isn't it?


ABCD 2 onwards all his films are opening better than Ranbir's averagely. Given a great script and great release date he may as well deliver a long awaiting Blockbuster (quicker than Ranbir did with YJHD) next year
1095612 thumbnail
Posted: 8 years ago
#7
I will surely give him credit when he will give a big bb nick. . . But still then he is behind. His movies r safe bet till now expect badlapur maybe. Yeah when he give a big bb like yjhd( not counting ticket inflation here) then he will be up there. If n what doesn't works in real! ! !
Edited by bosskibiwi - 8 years ago
anam10 thumbnail
9th Anniversary Thumbnail Voyager Thumbnail + 2
Posted: 8 years ago
#8
I don't understand this at all🤔
928730 thumbnail
Posted: 8 years ago
#9

Originally posted by: sidzyDMG



coz you have your head too far up ranbir's rear end to smell the beans!😊

matlab ?
saymaF29 thumbnail
9th Anniversary Thumbnail Navigator Thumbnail Engager Level 1 Thumbnail
Posted: 8 years ago
#10

Originally posted by: sidzyDMG


coz you have your head too far up ranbir's rear end to smell the beans! 😊


🤢 Disgusting post.

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