The race for the semi-finals
Cricinfo staff
September 18, 2007
The ICC World Twenty20 is approaching its business end and the race for the semi-final berths is heating up. Cricinfo looks at how the teams are placed and what they have to do to make the final four.
South Africa will knock England out of the competition if they beat New Zealand at Durban Getty Images
Group E
New Zealand are currently on top of the group with two wins out of two matches while South Africa are second with the victory over England in their only Super Eights game so far. India are third, having lost to New Zealand, while England are placed fourth, after losing to South Africa and New Zealand.
All four teams play tomorrow with New Zealand taking on South Africa and India playing England in Durban. Cricinfo lists out the various permutations, and how each team can make it to the lst four.
New Zealand: If they beat South Africa at Kingsmead, New Zealand will top the group with three wins out of three and secure a semi-final berth. However, even if they lose to South Africa, their chances of qualifying are still high, unless India beat both England and South Africa. In that case, New Zealand, South Africa and India will be tied on two wins each and net run-rate will decide which teams qualify for the semifinals.
South Africa will boost their semi-final chances tremendously if they beat New Zealand. That win will leave South Africa on four points, knocking England out of the tournament. South Africa will then go through unless India gain four points by winning both of their remaining matches against England and South Africa which will bring net run-rate into the picture.
If South Africa lose against New Zealand, however, the group is thrown wide open but they could still make the semi-finals if they beat India.
India's best chance of qualifying for the semi-finals is to win both of their remaining matches against England and South Africa. If South Africa beat New Zealand tomorrow to move on to four points, India will have to beat England to stay in the competition and will have to beat South Africa as well to draw level on points with South Africa and New Zealand.
If India lose to England tomorrow, their only chance will be if South Africa had lost to New Zealand earlier in the day. In that case, India would have to beat South Africa in the final group match to draw level on points with South Africa and England.
England have a remote mathematical chance of still making the semi-finals. For that to happen, South Africa must lose to New Zealand, England must beat India and hope that India beat South Africa so that the three teams are level on one win each. If South Africa beat New Zealand, England will be eliminated irrespective of their result against India.
Group F
The permutations for this group are far more straightforward. Bangladesh have been knocked out of the competition after losing to Sri Lanka while Pakistan have cemented a semi-final berth by winning against Sri Lanka and Australia with a game in hand against Bangladesh. Australia and Sri Lanka are level on two points each and their match on Thursday will be a virtual quarter-final.