Google says 60 crores budget for Bhediya and 410 for Brahmastra. And hit vs. flop is always determined by budget and collections. Otherwise, even ToH would be a hit.
It's the same in any business. Return on investment. Business A can invest 10 bucks and earn 20. Business B can invest 10 crores and earn back 5 crores. Business A is still successful while business B is a failure.
1st day earnings wise, if 36/75 were the numbers for Brahmastra, Bhediya actually did better at 20% of budget earned back worldwide.
Question remains: why is the calculation different for Bhediya?
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