Viswasruti thumbnail

Union Budget 2025

Posted: 4 months ago
#1

A trader at the end of the trading day on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York, New York, USA, on 04 April 2025. World financial markets are continuing to react to reciprocal tariffs that US President Donald Trump implemented this week and the Dow Jones industrial average lost 5.5% today. EPA/JUSTIN LANE

Trump's US tariffs are threatening global trade and the world economy, sparking fears of an international recession. But experts say markets will recover.

Financial markets around the world have been slammed by the Trump administration’s sweeping tariffs on its trading partners, and China’s swift retaliation.

Share markets have posted their biggest declines since the COVID pandemic hit in 2020, as fears of US recession surged. Iron ore, copper, oil, gold and the Australian dollar have all tumbled.

On Wall Street, leading indices have fallen around 10 percent since the tariffs were announced, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq is down 20 percent from its recent peak. European and Asian markets have also slumped.

In Australia, the key S&P/ASX 200 slid another 4.2 percent on Monday to levels last seen in December 2023, taking its three-day losses since the announcement to more than 7 percent.

Why are markets reacting so badly?

Financial markets reacted so negatively because the tariffs were much larger than expected. They represent the biggest upheaval in global trade in 80 years.

Many traders were hoping the tariffs would be used mainly as a bargaining tool. But comments by US President Donald Trump that markets may need to “take medicine” seem to suggest otherwise.

The tariffs are expected to weaken economic growth in the US as consumers pare back spending on more expensive imports, while businesses shelve investment plans. Leading US bank JP Morgan has put the chance of a US recession as high as 60 percent.

This comes at a time when the US economy was already looking fragile. The highly regarded GDPNow model developed by the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank indicates US March quarter GDP will fall 2.8 percent, and that was before the tariff announcement.

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Viswasruti thumbnail

Union Budget 2025

Posted: 4 months ago
#2

Fears of a recession in the United States and the potential for a global downturn has led to a broad sell-off in commodity prices, including iron ore, copper and oil. Further, the Australian dollar, which is seen as a barometer for risk, has fallen below 60 US cents in local trading – its lowest level since 2009.

While the direct impact of tariffs on Australia is expected to be modest (with around 6 percent of our exports going to US), the indirect impact could be substantial. China, Japan and South Korea together take more than 50 percent of Australia’s exports, and all have been hit with significantly higher tariffs.

Viswasruti thumbnail

Union Budget 2025

Posted: 4 months ago
#3

Hang in there, markets will recover

Watching equity markets tumble so dramatically can be unsettling for any investor. However, it is important to note that equity markets have experienced many downturns over the past 125 years due to wars, pandemics, financial crises and recessions. But these market impacts have generally been temporary.

History suggests that over the long term, equity prices continue to rise, supported by growing economies and rising incomes.

The key thing for investors to remember is to not panic. Now is not the time to decide to switch your superannuation or other investments to cash. This risks missing the next upswing while also crystallising any current losses.

For example, despite the steep market sell-off in March 2020 as the first COVID lockdowns came into effect, the Australian share market had completely recovered those losses by June 2021.

It is good practice for investors to regularly reassess their risk profile to make sure it is right for their current stage of life. This means reducing the allocation to riskier assets as investors get closer to retirement age, while also maintaining a cash buffer to avoid having to sell assets during more turbulent periods such as now.

Super funds are exposed to global risks

The current sell-off has highlighted a potential issue facing the superannuation industry.

So much of our superannuation is now invested in global equity markets, mostly in the US, because Australia’s superannuation savings pool – at more than A$4 trillion – has outgrown the investment opportunities available in Australia.

Another issue facing the superannuation industry is the growth of cyber attacks, with several funds targeted in a recent attack. Given the massive size of the assets held by some funds, it would seem they need to improve their security to be on par with that of the banking system.

Credit: The ConversationSource: Market Index

Viswasruti thumbnail

Union Budget 2025

Posted: 4 months ago
#4

Economists say levies of between 10% and 50% have dramatically added to the risk of a worldwide downturn

Richard Partington Senior economics correspondent

Global financial markets have been plunged into turmoil as Donald Trump’s escalating trade war knocked trillions of dollars off the value of the world’s biggest companies and heightened fears of a US recession.

As world leaders reacted to the US president’s “liberation day” tariff policies demolishing the international trading order, about $2.5tn (£1.9tn) was wiped off Wall Street and share prices in other financial centres across the globe.

Experts said Trump’s sweeping border taxes of between 10% and 50% on the US’s traditional allies and enemies alike had dramatically added to the risk of a steep global downturn and a recession in the world’s biggest economy.

World leaders from Brussels to Beijing rounded on Trump. China condemned “unilateral bullying” practices and the EU said it was drawing up countermeasures.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/global-markets-turmoil-trump-tariffs-wall-street-downturn

Edited by Viswasruti - 4 months ago
afsha2211 thumbnail
Posted: 4 months ago
#5

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ellenssim thumbnail
Posted: 3 months ago
#6
Trump’s tariffs are shaking global markets, triggering fears of a worldwide recession. Major stock indexes have dropped sharply, with the Nasdaq down 20% and Australia’s ASX 200 hitting levels not seen since 2023. Commodities like iron ore, copper, and oil have also plunged. Experts warn that the tariffs—much higher than expected—could slow U.S. growth, but markets may eventually recover.
Loyalty thumbnail
Posted: 1 months ago
#7

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Viswasruti thumbnail

Union Budget 2025

Posted: 1 months ago
#8

Originally posted by: afsha2211

please help me to buy crypto

In our India Forums, we never advice or help to members regarding Financial Market trading, Crypto trading or any other financial matters.

We share the news and information that is available through websites regarding the financial markets/ cryptocurrency and other money related matters such as Real Estate/ and other investments.

Being a newbie, please follow the IF COC rules and the Forum Guidelines which is visble in the right-hand side. smiley1

We already put Disclaimer regarding this, and again sharing here.

Disclaimer: The past performance of a security, an industry, a sector, a market, a financial product, a trading strategy or the individual trade does not guarantee any future results or returns. As an investor, you yourself bear the full responsibility for your individual investment decisions.

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Posted: 1 months ago

[Post Removed]

#9

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