Who will Win USA Election 2024?!! Trump or Harris ?

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are hitting the trail to deliver their closing messages in the final hours before Election Day.

Harris has several events scheduled in Pennsylvania, including a star-studded rally in Philadelphia in the evening. Trump is holding rallies in North Carolina and Pennsylvania before ending the day in Grand Rapids, Michigan.

Their running mates have busy schedules, too: Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, the Democratic vice presidential nominee, and Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, the Republican vice presidential nominee, are both holding events in the key battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin.

Trump's speech so far has focused on his claims that migrants are dangerous and that he will deport them if elected.

November 5, 2024, will be Liberation Day in America. And on day one, I will launch the largest deportation program of criminals in American history. We’re going to get them out.

Trump heads to Pittsburgh after this, then to Grand Rapids, Michigan, for his last appearance of the day.

Trump calls Tuesday ‘liberation day.’

Trump called Election Day “liberation day” at his Pennsylvania rally.

He promised to invoke the Alien Enemies Act of 1798—an obscure, centuries-old law Trump has referenced before.

“On day one, I will launch the largest deportation program in American history,” he added. “We have to get them out,” Trump said.

“Of the 1399 that are murderers,” many of them have committed two murders, he said. It’s not clear whom he was referring to. Trump said some migrants would be imprisoned, while others would be deported.

“For the most part, we just want to get them the hell out of our country.”.

The race for the White House is deadlocked - both at the national level and in the all-important battleground states.

The polls are so close, within the margin of error, that either Donald Trump or Kamala Harris could actually be two or three points better off - enough to win comfortably.

There is a compelling case to make for why each may have the edge when it comes to building a coalition of voters in the right places and then ensuring they actually turn out.

Let’s start with the history-making possibility that a defeated president might be re-elected for the first time in 130 years.

The economy is the number one issue for voters, and while unemployment is low and the stock market is booming, most Americans say they are struggling with higher prices every day.

Inflation hit levels not seen since the 1970s in the aftermath of the pandemic, giving Trump the chance to ask “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?”

In 2024, voters around the world have several times thrown out the party in power, partly due to the high, post-Covid, cost of living. US voters also seem hungry for change.

Only a quarter of Americans say they are satisfied with the direction the country is going in and two-thirds have a poor economic outlook.

Harris has tried to be the so-called change candidate, but as vice-president has struggled to distance herself from an unpopular Joe Biden.

Despite the fallout from the 6 January 2021 riot at the US Capitol, a string of indictments and an unprecedented criminal conviction, Trump’s support has remained stable all year at 40% or above.

While Democrats and “Never-Trump” conservatives say he is unfit for office, most Republicans agree when Trump says he’s the victim of a political witch-hunt.

With both sides so dug in, he just needs to win over enough of the small slice of undecided voters without a fixed view of him.

Beyond the state of the economy, elections are often decided by an issue with an emotional pull.

Democrats will hope it’s abortion, while Trump is betting it’s immigration. After encounters at the border hit record levels under Biden, and the influx impacted states far from the border, polls suggest voters trust Trump more on the immigration - and that he’s doing much better with Latinos than in previous elections.

Trump’s appeal to voters who feel forgotten and left behind has transformed US politics by turning traditional Democratic constituencies like union workers into Republicans and making the protection of American industry by tariffs almost the norm.

If he drives up turnout in rural and suburban parts of swing states this can offset the loss of moderate, college-educated Republicans.

Despite Trump’s advantages, he remains a deeply polarising figure.

In 2020, he won a record number of votes for a Republican candidate, but was defeated because seven million more Americans turned out to support Biden.

This time, Harris is playing up the fear factor about a Trump return. She’s called him a “fascist” and a threat to democracy, while vowing to move on from “drama and conflict”.

Harris is championed women's rights

This is the first presidential election since the US Supreme Court overturned Roe v Wade and the constitutional right to an abortion.

Voters concerned about protecting abortion rights overwhelmingly back Harris, and we’ve seen in past elections - notably the 2022 midterms - that the issue can drive turnout and have a real impact on the result.

This time around, 10 states, including the swing state Arizona, will have ballot initiatives asking voters how abortion should be regulated. This could boost turnout in Harris’s favour.

The historic nature of her bid to become the first female president may also strengthen her significant lead among women voters.

Sorry, I don't follow politics much. With the limited knowledge I have, it looks like getting a clear majority is difficult again this time and I can see a repeat telecast of last elections.

Cheers..

Donald Trump should win.

Originally posted by: Pixie-Dust

Donald Trump should win.

Originally posted by: Viswasruti

What is the reason behind your support for him? For his current guarantees or for his prior experience?

Overall he seems a good leader for his own country. India will have better relations with USA if trump comes into power.

Also his views on migrants is something that I agree upon. He understands the dangers associated with this migrant population, which is something that India too needs to care of. USA can become a support for India in taking policies against illegal migrants in world councils.

When H Clinton couldn’t get majority votes in the past, I doubt K Harris would be able to get majority votes.

Because till date, not a single woman has been able to win the Presidential Election in US. US has had many presidents but all of them have been MEN Only.

So, D Trump will became POTUS again.

P.S. I am not doubting the ability of women namely: H Clinton or K Harris. Just pointing out the statistics so far.

I think it will be Donald Trump based on how the presidents have been chosen in the past. Plus, like another member mentioned regarding the migrant policy handling.

Now, it depends how the swing states will factor in the electoral votes.

Originally posted by: Pixie-Dust

Overall he seems a good leader for his own country. India will have better relations with USA if trump comes into power.

Also his views on migrants is something that I agree upon. He understands the dangers associated with this migrant population, which is something that India too needs to care of. USA can become a support for India in taking policies against illegal migrants in world councils.

At the same time, India must insure against the prospect of a more “normal” America, an imbalance of power in the Asia-Pacific, divergent counterterrorism priorities, and a relative vacuum in global governance. While in many instances U.S. power cannot be fully replaced or replicated, India will have little choice but to invest in relationships with other countries to achieve its desired outcomes, while more forcefully projecting its own influence and leadership. This will mean deepening bilateral economic, social, and technological relations with the likes of Japan, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, China, and Russia, as well as smaller powers such as Israel, the United Arab Emirates, Singapore, Canada, and Australia, especially in areas where they boast comparative advantages. Additionally, New Delhi must double down on its “Act East” policy in order to preserve a favorable balance of power in the Indo-Pacific region.