It completely depends on the ruling dispensation. Anything bollywood that they either decide to promote or boycott become hit. They supported Kashmir Files, it became a hit. They boycotted Brhmastra and Pathaan. Both become hits.
The only thing that the makers should be very very careful about is that the film should not be ignored by them at any cost. It should fall in one of either mold and once it does, then sky is the limit. Unfortunately for Salman no one seems to come down that heavily on him as on SRK, so he will have to work very hard. 😆